If it had worked, I would have had the same reaction as if one of my kids had successfully done something stupid high risk relative to the reward, like jumping off the roof onto a trampoline and bounced into the pool. Yeah, you did it, but that was a dumbass thing to do and could have gotten you killed. What the hell were you thinking?
I love HCSF and I really wanted it to work here. It yet may, though that seems light years beyond grasp now, but right now, in this case, HCSF hit the side of the trampoline, broke his leg, and then tumbled onto the pool deck headfirst and got a concussion too.
HCTO understood risk-reward when he went for 2. Fairly decent odds of getting the 2, but if he didn't get it, he knew he would come away from the result with not just a loss, but also honor and respect and prestige. He knew it would get talked about for years to come and be part of his legacy. In contrast, there were NO upsides to the way HCSF processed this risk-reward calculation, thus causing further harm to the team, the program, the school, his staff (especially those who just relocated for what looks to be a single-season gig)..... and that's a fundamental failure on him as a leader. And, as it turns out, this will also .... get talked about for years to come and be part of his legacy.
This all may yet miraculously work out for him and for us, but I can no longer visualize it happening.