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2020 sports seasons from a guy who knows

RedRum said:
Thats a good point. No matter what the reality is, the NCAA is likely to take the "if we can avoid 1 death" stance.
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The fact that they weren't willing to finish the college basketball season even with empty stands, kind of tells you how much precaution they are taking. Our governor in AZ is predicting we will peak here in May. Despite nearly 4 million people in PHX, we have tested less than 1000 people here with nearly 700 cases. So basically everyone tested has had it.
 

lincoln84 said:
The fact that they weren't willing to finish the college basketball season even with empty stands, kind of tells you how much precaution they are taking. Our governor in AZ is predicting we will peak here in May. Despite nearly 4 million people in PHX, we have tested less than 1000 people here with nearly 700 cases. So basically everyone tested has had it.
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That's a wild number of tests versus positive cases.

In Nebraska to be tested you have to be have traveled from somewhere, been around someone who has traveled from somewhere, or been around someone known positive, so basically they test only high risk people. Yet the positive results have been around 5% of total tests. As of last Thursday there was 74 cases and 1584 negative tests.
 
Nehunter88 said:
That's a wild number of tests versus positive cases.

In Nebraska to be tested you have to be have traveled from somewhere, been around someone who has traveled from somewhere, or been around someone known positive, so basically they test only high risk people. Yet the positive results have been around 5% of total tests. As of last Thursday there was 74 cases and 1584 negative tests.
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Because the weather is so good here, LOTS of people are still out and about. Golf courses are very busy—even during the week. We are supposed to hit 90 next week. I am not sure the warm sun is helping here.
 
lincoln84 said:
Because the weather is so good here, LOTS of people are still out and about. Golf courses are very busy—even during the week. We are supposed to hit 90 next week. I am not sure the warm sun is helping here.
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I'm curious, when did they close the schools out there, and when did they ask for no more then 10 people together?
 



Nehunter88 said:
I'm curious, when did they close the schools out there, and when did they ask for no more then 10 people together?
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Yes, they closed the schools a few weeks ago and did the 10 people thing on 3/17 for bars and restaurants. Gyms finally closed last week.
 
Husker In Oklahoma said:
Where are we seeing exposure slowing down? It’s doubling every other day. Last Friday there were 18,000+ cases. Today, not even a week later, it’s the most in the world. Passed China, with 1.3 billion people. Trump is full of crap if he thinks things are ready to roll by Easter. This is a huge problem. For everyone.
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Not disagreeing with you, but let’s be honest - China is not honest.
shanghaiist.com

Urns in Wuhan far exceed death toll, raising more questions about China’s tally

A single mortuary has had 5,000 urns delivered over the past two days, double the city’s reported coronavirus death toll
shanghaiist.com shanghaiist.com
 
Hugoniot said:
Not disagreeing with you, but let’s be honest - China is not honest.
shanghaiist.com

Urns in Wuhan far exceed death toll, raising more questions about China’s tally

A single mortuary has had 5,000 urns delivered over the past two days, double the city’s reported coronavirus death toll
shanghaiist.com shanghaiist.com
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This x100. Anytime someone bases any sort of evidence off of anything coming out of China as far as statistics, I no longer take that person seriously. Being too credulous gets people killed when you're dealing with a murderous regime.
 




WestTexasHusker said:
21 million fewer cell phone users in China in the last 90 days. Where did they go ?
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That number is huge, and it can't be discounted, but keep in mind that ex-pats living there had to have Chinese SIM cards for their phones (I know this because I lived there), so I'm guessing that some of those cell phone users would include ex-pats who have left since the on-set of the virus. Ditto for any Chinese who were able to leave. There is a huge market for creating fake credentials for Chinese citizens to lie in order to get a dual passport with places like Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, et al., and anyone who had a non-Chinese passport--even if they were Chinese--was likely to leave as soon as they knew what was happening. Add together all of the above, and it would be a sizable number compared to what you'd be likely to assume, still ... millions of people have had this disease in China that didn't show up in the government's statistics, and some percentage of those people died. We'll never know how many. Their government takes drastic measures to make sure that the truth doesn't have a chance to survive.

Going further with the Chinese people's response to the virus, I was perplexed to hear talk of Chinese citizens traveling to Italy to visit their families there during the Chinese New Year. That is NOT how things usually work in China. The entire country packs up and leaves, going back to their ancestral homes. Then it occurred to me that people in Italy weren't going to go back to China when it looked like there was a pandemic brewing, and they likely brought their relatives to China to help them get away from it, which is what probably you or I would do if faced with a similar family situation. Those folks fleeing China's pandemic took it to Italy. They did NOT take it to a lot of other more likely destinations--including the U.S.--because other countries had put travel bans in place for those coming from China.
 
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Football ain't gonna happen, and probably not BB again either. Which wouldn't be the worst thing to happen for Wichita St. right now.
 




Lavaman said:
The big question in my mind, ncaa football-wise, is whether or not the players will lose a year of eligibility if the whole season is cancelled. It would be crappy to steal a year from everyone, but if you don't, they're going to have to do something about scholarship limits or else the 2020 class is going to get screwed in recruiting.
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The NCAA just announced that athletes who would have participated in spring sports will be granted an extra year of eligibility. That means everybody, not just seniors. Schools will be allowed to expand rosters to accommodate incoming freshmen as well as the seniors who stay for an extra year. They left it up to each school to decide whether the seniors who stay will get less financial aid or not.

If fall sports are cancelled entirely, I would expect the same to be done for those sports but nobody knows yet.

www.espn.com

NCAA approves extra year for spring athletes

The NCAA Division I Council voted Monday to grant an extra year of eligibility to all student-athletes in spring sports whose seasons were canceled because of the coronavirus pandemic.
www.espn.com www.espn.com
 
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