This thread is starting to feel like one of those arguments that I used to have with crazy ex-girlfriends where I said something, and they "quoted" back to me how I had "made them feel," and my actual words weren't supposed to matter.
@One Hit Wonder did
not say that we'd go 6-6, or that we'd probably lose to those 6 teams. His exact words were that they had a "good probability" of beating us. That's a subjective phrase, but if you think that we're a lock to win 5 of those 6 games and go 11-1, yes, I absolutely would make that bet with you. Do I think that we'll be better than 6-6 in 2019? Yes, I do. I expect us to go to a bowl game, and I would pick 8-4 as our over/under record for the regular season.
In the Big 8 we played three teams--Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State--who NEVER beat Osborne. Those days are over. Even in those years that feel like the glory days, we'd still get beat occasionally by Colorado, Missouri, or Iowa State. With our non-conference schedule we basically had 6 all-but-guaranteed wins, plus 2-3 from CO, MO, and IA State. Those days are over.
We are now in a situation where there isn't a team on our schedule besides South Alabama who will be a long shot at going to a bowl. Look over the schedules of our opponents for next year and identify how many teams you would bet against going to a bowl. Northern Illinois should be down, but they are a bowl team this year, and they have a good shot at going again next year, depending on what happens in the MAC. Indiana and Maryland are likely to win at least 6 games next year if either one can beat us. Even Illinois barely missed out this year, and they would have gone to a bowl if they had beat us. They have almost everyone back.
We could potentially end up playing 9-10 bowl teams next year, and we were 4-8 this year. We lost our top rusher, top receiver, several leading tacklers, and all but one Safety who saw playing time. If you seriously want to bet that we're going to win 10 or 11 games, I'll take your money. If Nebraska covers, I'll be happy to pay. If not, I'll be comforted by taking your money.