Definitely an outlier.
I did enjoy the article, as I appreciate a thorough analysis. Thanks for sharing it.
As
@Redleg mentioned, turnovers and penalties are not included in the metric used to measure Nebraska's "luck."
I don't know what I did with the link I found this in (don't think it's in the article you linked) ... but I read that in Nebraska's single score losses since 2018 (Frost era), we are -20 on turnover margin.
If a team is talented enough to make games close but still find a way to lose, it's likely due to mistakes (turnovers, penalties, play calling, clock management, etc.). Also, it doesn't appear the metric takes into account special teams (correct me if I'm wrong). Obviously, special teams hurt us frequently. Heck, it cost us a win over Michigan State.
If Nebraska hopes to turn more losses into wins, it's going to be due to limiting the number of times we shoot ourselves in the foot. A more disciplined team will win more games.
This is from the current Athlon college football preview (paper version):
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