If we go 10-8 in conference like I think we will... it will be the Penn State loss that will prevent us from getting in... while the UAB loss is not great... Penn St will be the only below .500 team we have lost to all season...
not many teams that go over .500 in a power conference and did not lose to a below .500 opponent all season get left out of the tournament.
10-8 means 2-2 down the stretch. That would leave NU on the outside looking in heading to the conference tourney.
2-2 is not going to give us much shot unless we make the CCG.
I would say semis, but it depends on which 2-2 and how.
2-2 is not that bad and would set us up where 1 CT win would likely do it and 2 would be almost a sure thing. 2 road games and a home game against a top team makes us an underdog in each of those 3. One win in these 3 games is necessary and 2 would be exceptional.I would say semis, but it depends on which 2-2 and how.
I'd almost have to guess that losing the two road games might be best...so that would mean a win against Wisco. Guess it's an eye of the beholder thing for the individual committee members.