And even then, would very likely have to do some damage in the Big Ten Tournament (i.e. win AT LEAST two games -- even then, the Dance would be far from a lock).
It's basically going to take a miracle.
Well, at least we should be able to gain a bit of momentum with a relatively easy opponent next up in Northwestern. But as with Minnesota, that game won't do much to boost our chances. It just keeps us from falling off the cliff, assuming we win.
The last team we beat that has a greater than 30% chance to make the tournament was Clemson (39% chance, according to Team Rankings) -- way back on November 26. In other words, NU will have to beat at least a couple teams that are better than any team we've beaten this season to realistically have any shot.