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TeamRankings

Red Don

Water Boy
5 Year Member
Must be an Actuary thing since the percentages are not certain and the home vs away games. (Anything I'm too dumb to understand I blame on the Actuaries :Lol:)
 
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ColoREDo

REDo posts matter!!!
10 Year Member
They won't win all of the ones where that have a greater than 50% chance to win.
But That makes no sense to me if you are going to use this as a projection. Its saying we project this team to have a 56% chance to win this game so they are going to lose it. Um...what?

And Michigan looks like a tougher game every day.
 

bilsker

Tom Osborne
15 Year Member
Interesting site. Thanks for sharing. Interestingly it shows the nu game as creighton's least likely to win...at 22.4%. For nu it shows a win % of 80.6. Fake news! ;)
 

Rainbow Dash

Embrace yourself.
2 Year Member
Interesting site. Thanks for sharing. Interestingly it shows the nu game as creighton's least likely to win...at 22.4%. For nu it shows a win % of 80.6. Fake news! ;)
Yeah. Played on paper it might be. It’s a rivalry game of sorts so pretty much throw out the paper. Creighton has a week to prepare while Nebraska has to face two conference foes. I fully anticipate it to be a dog fight.
 

BGRed

Starter
15 Year Member
But That makes no sense to me if you are going to use this as a projection. Its saying we project this team to have a 56% chance to win this game so they are going to lose it. Um...what?

And Michigan looks like a tougher game every day.

No, they are not saying what you think they are saying. The chance is not 100% win, so there is a chance that they'd lose it. When you combine a bunch of 56% chances to win, they'd win 56 out of 100 and lose 44 out of 100. You can't take the individual game chances and assume that you are going to win 100% of those individual games.
 

BGRed

Starter
15 Year Member
Interesting site. Thanks for sharing. Interestingly it shows the nu game as creighton's least likely to win...at 22.4%. For nu it shows a win % of 80.6. Fake news! ;)
It is updated every day. Did you check both teams yesterday? Or, did you compare my screen print from Tuesday to Creighton's team info from yestesrday?
 

ColoREDo

REDo posts matter!!!
10 Year Member
No, they are not saying what you think they are saying. The chance is not 100% win, so there is a chance that they'd lose it. When you combine a bunch of 56% chances to win, they'd win 56 out of 100 and lose 44 out of 100. You can't take the individual game chances and assume that you are going to win 100% of those individual games.
Which is fine but that doesn't explain the parameters that told them that Nebraska would lose 9 games. Where did that number come from?
 
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