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serious odds of winning the B1G Tournament
- Thread starter SoCalRed
- Start date
If we make the tournament, I would say about 25%.
100%
I don't know what numbers I'd put on it, but I don't think the chances are good. Things would have to go really, really right on the mound for NU to make it through the first couple of games with their staff intact enough to finish it. Even if they pulled that off, the back end of the rotation is inconsistent.
Somewhere between playing pickup sticks with our butt-cheeks and the chances of finding a three-legged ballerina.
We are the best team and will be #1 seed
IF we get a #1/#2 seed: 2 to 1
IF not: 4 to 1
If they are a top-2 seed (first round bye), there MAY ONLY BE a couple of games (3).
Last year's bracket: http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools...1-12/misc_non_event/baseball_bracket_2012.pdf
...that will probably require a sweep this week and some help from tOSU.
IF not: 4 to 1
If they are a top-2 seed (first round bye), there MAY ONLY BE a couple of games (3).
Last year's bracket: http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools...1-12/misc_non_event/baseball_bracket_2012.pdf
...that will probably require a sweep this week and some help from tOSU.
In order to overtake Indiana (which still doesn't guarantee a one-seed) ...Right now, Indiana has a 1-game lead over Nebraska. But the Hoosiers do own the tie-breaker (so, it's essentially a two-game lead). I believe that would suggest If Indiana wins their series over OSU (3-0 or 2-1), no chance for Nebraska. If Indiana loses the series to Ohio State (not impossible, as Ohio State is probably one of the top 3 or 4 teams in the conference), then it opens the door for Nebraska. If Indiana goes 1-2, then Nebraska would need to sweep. If Indiana is swept, Nebraska would need to go 2-1. If Nebraska loses the series to Michigan, it doesn't matter what Indiana does, and the Hoosiers would hold ground. That's not even taking into account Ohio State -- who is currently tied with Nebraska in the standings, but also holds the tie-breaker. And I suppose you technically still have Minnesota in the hunt for the one-seed -- well, maybe not with tie-breakers. What a mess! Seems to me it's most likely either Indiana or Ohio State that gets the one-seed. And Nebraska loses out on the tie-breaker to both of those team due to head-to-head series losses.
Yes, I believe Ohio State needs to beat Indiana 2 games to 1 ... then Nebraska needs to sweep Michigan -- that's the ONLY way I can think of. Indiana beats Ohio State (3-0 or 2-1), no shot for Nebraska. Ohio State sweeps Indiana, no shot for Nebraska. Nebraska loses even one game to Michigan, no shot for Nebraska. That's the final, valid analysis after a bunch of random thoughts above.
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Real simple we will sweep Michigan and OSU will beat IU 2-1 and we get one seed 17-7, OSU #2 16-8, IU #3 16-8In order to overtake Indiana (which still doesn't guarantee a one-seed) ...Right now, Indiana has a 1-game lead over Nebraska. But the Hoosiers do own the tie-breaker (so, it's essentially a two-game lead). I believe that would suggest If Indiana wins their series over OSU (3-0 or 2-1), no chance for Nebraska. If Indiana loses the series to Ohio State (not impossible, as Ohio State is probably one of the top 3 or 4 teams in the conference), then it opens the door for Nebraska. If Indiana goes 1-2, then Nebraska would need to sweep. If Indiana is swept, Nebraska would need to go 2-1. If Nebraska loses the series to Michigan, it doesn't matter what Indiana does, and the Hoosiers would hold ground. That's not even taking into account Ohio State -- who is currently tied with Nebraska in the standings, but also holds the tie-breaker. And I suppose you technically still have Minnesota in the hunt for the one-seed -- well, maybe not with tie-breakers. What a mess! Seems to me it's most likely either Indiana or Ohio State that gets the one-seed. And Nebraska loses out on the tie-breaker to both of those team due to head-to-head series losses.
Yes, I believe Ohio State needs to beat Indiana 2 games to 1 ... then Nebraska needs to sweep Michigan -- that's the ONLY way I can think of. Indiana beats Ohio State (3-0 or 2-1), no shot for Nebraska. Ohio State sweeps Indiana, no shot for Nebraska. Nebraska loses even one game to Michigan, no shot for Nebraska. That's the final, valid analysis after a bunch of random thoughts above.
We sweep the Big 10 tournament we end season 30-26 and a #3 seed in NCAA then on to Super regional
heheh. I appreciate your overflowing optimism, P! But I'd be willing to bet anything I own against that happening!
Based on some of Deleon's starts this year, not sure this is a disaster. Huskers need to get a one or two seed for the conference tourny, and then their chances to win the tourny will be 50-50. I may be naively optimistic, but I am looking forward to some fun college baseball the next few weeks, and that includes my Huskers.
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If they are a top-2 seed (first round bye), there MAY ONLY BE a couple of games (3).
Last year's bracket: http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools...1-12/misc_non_event/baseball_bracket_2012.pdf
That's very true; I hadn't thought of the first round bye possibility. Let's hope the 'skers have a great weekend.
Last year's bracket: http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools...1-12/misc_non_event/baseball_bracket_2012.pdf
That's very true; I hadn't thought of the first round bye possibility. Let's hope the 'skers have a great weekend.
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