How much do we win by against NIU?

[Hooked on Huskers]

NIU's 2023 roster, three Nebraska natives. LB Jake Gassaway, DT Cade Haberman and RB Christian Nash.

Weekly Press Conference, Nebraska

 

[The Big Red Lebowski]

At this point, it doesn't seem cynical to believe we will lose the turnover battle. 15 years of data suggests that's a statistical likelihood. If we go -1, we'll win by a TD. If we go -2, it's anybody's ballgame.

 

[Husker In Oklahoma]

This isn’t a sure fire win. Turn the ball over like they have, and this will end up a loss as well. Protect the ball, NU wins by 10+.

 

[Wandering Nebraskan]

Based on these "highlights" of NIU against an FCS team, I think the Huskers will be fine unless numerous things go wrong.

 

[Hotlanta Husker]

I'll take Northern Illinois by 10. I watched their first two games. I believe their offense alone is good for at least 10 points against our defense. I will give them another 7-13 points from mistakes made by our offense (short fields from turnovers.) I don't think our offense has 17 points in them.

Don't take much stock in the BC game... Worst Boston College team in 25 years according to my buddy who follows them closely.

 

[NorthwoodHusker]

Not sure the level of NIU's competition but they're top 30 in total defense so far:

Rank	TEAM	G	PLAYS	YDS	YDS/PLAY	OFF TDS	OPP TDS	YPG
27	​ NIU	2	116	533	4.59	5	5	266.5

(Mini Rant: The NCAA changed formatting on their Stats page and now it's hard to get a snapshot of a team's official statistics. EDIT: Found official NU statistics using an old link: NU 23-24 Official NCAA Stats. sigh)

BC was 121st in total O last year, and So Ill is upper middle Missouri Valley bcs.
One of the easiest first two games

 

[NorthwoodHusker]

NU can't get too sloppy with penalties as well. BC racked up 10 for 93 yards in their loss to NIU.

NIU D gave up 24 to the 122nd rated scoring offense last years rating.

 

[70county]

I think we win going away late after a much tougher game than should be. Sims (if anywhere near 100) plays better (no pressure no stress) and support comes out of the Seeya woods. Anthony Grant goes for 100 and and the OL has its best game in years, yet still game is tight going into the 4th. (NU-31 NIU-17)

​

If Sims does not play it’s a tough game throughout and Heinrich is noticeably handcuffed by satterfield play calling away from his strengths. Coaches don’t like fans to be smarter than them in the slightest. Purdy is shuffled in and neither QB is able take control of the offense. (NU-20 NIU-13)

 

[BleedinHuskerRed]

I'm asking depending on who's starting at qb and how much difference will that make.
But imo, we cover and by 10 no matter who is at qb

 

[NorthwoodHusker]

I think we win going away late after a much tougher game than should be. Sims (if anywhere near 100) plays better (no pressure no stress) and support comes out of the Seeya woods. Anthony Grant goes for 100 and and the OL has its best game in years, yet still game is tight going into the 4th. (NU-31 NIU-17)

​

If Sims does not play it’s a tough game throughout and Heinrich is noticeably handcuffed by satterfield play calling away from his strengths. Coaches don’t like fans to be smarter than them in the slightest. Purdy is shuffled in and neither QB is able take control of the offense. (NU-20 NIU-13)

Let me ask you, without turnovers and short fields, do you think NIU can score 3 times against our D?

 

[Smoker]

Huskers Defense gets their first shut out of the season, Offense is good for only 14pts.
huskers win 14-0

 

[HuskerSuperGenius]

Let me ask you, without turnovers and short fields, do you think NIU can score 3 times against our D?

We play an aggressive pressure defense which leads to sacks and hopefully turnovers.

But, and there's always a but, like you saw with Tommi Hill, it also leads to sporadic busts and big plays.

So, yes NIL can score against this defense, it can score on special teams, it can score off Pick Sixes (See last meeting) and if we turn the ball over, it can score on short field drives (turnovers in our own end of the field).

We have 3 TD's in two games and remember one came after a long kick return and a gadget play and another on the "last play" of the game.

So from NIL's perspective, how much do you think, they think they have to score to beat us?

 

[NorthwoodHusker]

We play an aggressive pressure defense which leads to sacks and hopefully turnovers.

But, and there's always a but, like you saw with Tommi Hill, it also leads to sporadic busts and big plays.

So, yes NIL can score against this defense, it can score on special teams, it can score off Pick Sixes (See last meeting) and if we turn the ball over, it can score on short field drives (turnovers in our own end of the field).

We have 3 TD's in two games and remember one came after a long kick return and a gadget play and another on the "last play" of the game.

So from NIL's perspective, how much do you think, they think they have to score to beat us?

That was a MA bad read. Happens every game by every team. But the opposition has to be on the same page and to be able to deliver.
If we have a handful of sacks on him, and it happens again, there is no reason to believe Lombardi does what Shedeur did.
And that goes both ways, our qbs may catch it when it happens as well.
Playing like we did at ucla under Riley we could point out and ask why didn't we do that all year long? But thats not in Rileys dna, it is in Rhules.
Comparing him to Bo is closer, but unlike Bo who loved the Yolo bombs, its the TE game, always complaints of Bo not using the TE enough.
Satt has shown many creative ways to use his wrs and TEs Bo never did.
We control this game and find multiple ways in doing so. imo

 

[Deep Thoughts]

We are 2-2 with lots of momentum and a feared defense when we line up against Michigan.

 

[jmatlock]

We are 2-2 with lots of momentum and a feared defense when we line up against Michigan.

Pal, sure beats 0-4 with a seared defense!