Maybe this has been posted but I just heard on a satellite college football station that Vegas has NU's season win total over-under set at 6. I would have thought at least 7.
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Vegas wins over-under
- Thread starter Discoverer27
- Start date
I wonder if that includes the bowl game or is just for regular season. Probably just regular season since they don't know who we would play in a bowl.
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On paper, I can see why Vegas would do that.
Basically new offense, with a new QB, with no returning starters except OL, which was lackluster last year.
New defense.
The upside: NU has building to this kind of offense for 2+ yrs, and the QB is not a rookie.
The defense is led by a very good DC in Diaco.
I think NU will have 5 wins for sure:
09/02 ARKANSAS STATE TBA
09/16 NORTHERN ILLINOIS TBA
09/23 RUTGERS TBA
09/29 @ ILLINOIS TBA
10/28 @
PURDUE TBA
4 toss up games:
10/07 WISCONSIN TBA
11/04 NORTHWESTERN TBA
11/11 @ MINNESOTA TBA
11/24 IOWA TBA
3 upsets, if they are wins:
09/09 @ OREGON TBA
10/14 OHIO STATE TBA
11/18
@ PENN STATE TBA
So if NU wins the 5 for sure wins, plus half the toss ups, that gets them to 7 wins. I think NU can win all the toss ups, and that would get them to 9. I think the real over-under might be 8.
Basically new offense, with a new QB, with no returning starters except OL, which was lackluster last year.
New defense.
The upside: NU has building to this kind of offense for 2+ yrs, and the QB is not a rookie.
The defense is led by a very good DC in Diaco.
I think NU will have 5 wins for sure:
09/02 ARKANSAS STATE TBA
09/16 NORTHERN ILLINOIS TBA
09/23 RUTGERS TBA
09/29 @ ILLINOIS TBA
10/28 @
4 toss up games:
10/07 WISCONSIN TBA
11/04 NORTHWESTERN TBA
11/11 @ MINNESOTA TBA
11/24 IOWA TBA
3 upsets, if they are wins:
09/09 @ OREGON TBA
10/14 OHIO STATE TBA
11/18
So if NU wins the 5 for sure wins, plus half the toss ups, that gets them to 7 wins. I think NU can win all the toss ups, and that would get them to 9. I think the real over-under might be 8.
Agree with your assessment but think Oregon is close to a toss up with the only advantage being Oregon playing at home. 8 seems better to me.On paper, I can see why Vegas would do that.
Basically new offense, with a new QB, with no returning starters except OL, which was lackluster last year.
New defense.
The upside: NU has building to this kind of offense for 2+ yrs, and the QB is not a rookie.
The defense is led by a very good DC in Diaco.
I think NU will have 5 wins for sure:
09/02 ARKANSAS STATE TBA
09/16 NORTHERN ILLINOIS TBA
09/23 RUTGERS TBA
09/29 @ ILLINOIS TBA
10/28 @PURDUE TBA
4 toss up games:
10/07 WISCONSIN TBA
11/04 NORTHWESTERN TBA
11/11 @ MINNESOTA TBA
11/24 IOWA TBA
3 upsets, if they are wins:
09/09 @ OREGON TBA
10/14 OHIO STATE TBA
11/18@ PENN STATE TBA
So if NU wins the 5 for sure wins, plus half the toss ups, that gets them to 7 wins. I think NU can win all the toss ups, and that would get them to 9. I think the real over-under might be 8.
On paper, I can see why Vegas would do that.
Basically new offense, with a new QB, with no returning starters except OL, which was lackluster last year.
New defense.
The upside: NU has building to this kind of offense for 2+ yrs, and the QB is not a rookie.
The defense is led by a very good DC in Diaco.
I think NU will have 5 wins for sure:
09/02 ARKANSAS STATE TBA
09/16 NORTHERN ILLINOIS TBA
09/23 RUTGERS TBA
09/29 @ ILLINOIS TBA
10/28 @PURDUE TBA
4 toss up games:
10/07 WISCONSIN TBA
11/04 NORTHWESTERN TBA
11/11 @ MINNESOTA TBA
11/24 IOWA TBA
3 upsets, if they are wins:
09/09 @ OREGON TBA
10/14 OHIO STATE TBA
11/18@ PENN STATE TBA
So if NU wins the 5 for sure wins, plus half the toss ups, that gets them to 7 wins. I think NU can win all the toss ups, and that would get them to 9. I think the real over-under might be 8.
I agree with your season breakdown, but would put the over-under at 7.5. Either way, the o/u of 6 seems like a good bet.
I view Oregon as a favorite over NU rather than a toss-up.
The Ducks were horrible last season, yet they gave the Huskers all they could handle in Lincoln. Oregon returns the third most starters in all of FBS. And their new coach's offensive system should transition fairly easily with the Ducks former system.
Factoring into their poor play was being emotionally down because of the poor season. That hadn't happened yet when they were in Lincoln. If it were a Husker home game, I think the Huskers win a tight one. I think NU and OU are pretty even.
Fair enough. I mostly look at all of the returning starters -- and they have more than about any team in FBS -- and we are on the total opposite end of the spectrum. Oregon is #3 in returning starters. Nebraska is #114. That is pretty brutal for a team that green to play their third game of the season in one of the tougher environments in college football. I personally fear that's a game we could get pounded, if we are not careful.
Valid point but I am not certain whether some of our starters being gone is a positive or negative in some positions. Obviously having new personnel has an elemental learning curve with chemistry and cohesiveness, but I have convinced myself that on the offensive side of the ball, we are going to be better off in the long run this season. It remains to be seen whether that translates to a game played against a quality opponent on the road in September, but I have my fingers crossed.
Maybe, but not definitely.
