How do they get nine losses when they only have the win % under 50 in four more games?
But That makes no sense to me if you are going to use this as a projection. Its saying we project this team to have a 56% chance to win this game so they are going to lose it. Um...what?They won't win all of the ones where that have a greater than 50% chance to win.
Interesting site. Thanks for sharing. Interestingly it shows the nu game as creighton's least likely to win...at 22.4%. For nu it shows a win % of 80.6. Fake news!
But That makes no sense to me if you are going to use this as a projection. Its saying we project this team to have a 56% chance to win this game so they are going to lose it. Um...what?
And Michigan looks like a tougher game every day.
Interesting site. Thanks for sharing. Interestingly it shows the nu game as creighton's least likely to win...at 22.4%. For nu it shows a win % of 80.6. Fake news!
Which is fine but that doesn't explain the parameters that told them that Nebraska would lose 9 games. Where did that number come from?No, they are not saying what you think they are saying. The chance is not 100% win, so there is a chance that they'd lose it. When you combine a bunch of 56% chances to win, they'd win 56 out of 100 and lose 44 out of 100. You can't take the individual game chances and assume that you are going to win 100% of those individual games.