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TeamRankings

Discussion in 'Men's Basketball' started by BGRed, Nov 27, 2018.

  1. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    From a website that uses actual game metrics to run simulations of all remaining games to project final records and tournament chances:

    upload_2018-11-27_21-4-35.png
     
    Ackos and BasilLongfellow like this.
  2. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    dup
     
    Last edited: Nov 27, 2018
  3. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    dup
     
    Last edited: Nov 27, 2018
  4. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    Nebraska game projections:
    upload_2018-11-27_21-8-52.png
     
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  5. ColoREDo

    ColoREDo REDo posts matter!!! 10 Year Member

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    How do they get nine losses when they only have the win % under 50 in four more games?
     
    Last edited: Nov 28, 2018
  6. HuSkaBob

    HuSkaBob Husker Geek 5 Year Member

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    14% Chance to win the Autobid! THAT BLOWS MY MIND. I hate it.
     
  7. Red Don

    Red Don Water Boy 5 Year Member

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    Must be an Actuary thing since the percentages are not certain and the home vs away games. (Anything I'm too dumb to understand I blame on the Actuaries :Lol:)
     
    Last edited: Nov 28, 2018
  8. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    They won't win all of the ones where that have a greater than 50% chance to win.
     
  9. ColoREDo

    ColoREDo REDo posts matter!!! 10 Year Member

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    But That makes no sense to me if you are going to use this as a projection. Its saying we project this team to have a 56% chance to win this game so they are going to lose it. Um...what?

    And Michigan looks like a tougher game every day.
     
  10. bilsker

    bilsker Tom Osborne 15 Year Member

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    Interesting site. Thanks for sharing. Interestingly it shows the nu game as creighton's least likely to win...at 22.4%. For nu it shows a win % of 80.6. Fake news! ;)
     
  11. Rainbow Dash

    Rainbow Dash It’s one thing to read about dragons... 2 Year Member

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    Yeah. Played on paper it might be. It’s a rivalry game of sorts so pretty much throw out the paper. Creighton has a week to prepare while Nebraska has to face two conference foes. I fully anticipate it to be a dog fight.
     
  12. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    No, they are not saying what you think they are saying. The chance is not 100% win, so there is a chance that they'd lose it. When you combine a bunch of 56% chances to win, they'd win 56 out of 100 and lose 44 out of 100. You can't take the individual game chances and assume that you are going to win 100% of those individual games.
     
  13. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    It is updated every day. Did you check both teams yesterday? Or, did you compare my screen print from Tuesday to Creighton's team info from yestesrday?
     
  14. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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  15. ColoREDo

    ColoREDo REDo posts matter!!! 10 Year Member

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    Which is fine but that doesn't explain the parameters that told them that Nebraska would lose 9 games. Where did that number come from?
     

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