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Womens BB updates
- Thread starter BGRed
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The scenario above is for all teams to have played an 18 game conf. schedule. If NW doesn't play the 2 games out on the west coast, they make the tourney as a 14 seed. This is not right for NW to make the tourney that way.
What's the background on that? Were they cancelled due to the wildfires?
Only if they beat Wisconsin in Madison Sunday, right? Otherwise they are 15th at best. But I get your point, that would clearly have been two more losses in LA.
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They were postponed. If Northwestern were to lose both games, they would finiosh worse than the teams below them in the standings. All you have to do is go to this web site and plug in the games to see how if NW plays a full conf. schedule. They wouldn't be a 15 or 14 seed.
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On another note back in 21/22 the Huskers men missed some games due to covid, and they had to make those games up. They played 5 games in 12 days, with 3 coming with 1 days rest.
I didn't watch yesterday's final home game live (as I was at the UCLA/Iowa near-upset with my Hawkeye grad wife)...but, reading the post-game story, it seems that it was a highly competitive game for three and a half quarters. Washington outscored Nebraska 15-0 over the final 6:45 of the third quarter to turn a tight game into a blowout win for Washington. Britt Prince did not play.
With not many league games left (this is the final week) and Nebraska not having a midweek game, the best finish is not going to be 10-8 with a win at Northwestern.
With eight league teams already locked in to 10 wins, there would need to be a lot of big upsets for Nebraska to get to the 7-seed and very unlikely to even get as high as the 8-seed. The 9-seed seems reasonable, but still could fall as low as 11.
Picking what I think are reasonable outcomes, I end up with Nebraska as the 9-seed.
With eight league teams already locked in to 10 wins, there would need to be a lot of big upsets for Nebraska to get to the 7-seed and very unlikely to even get as high as the 8-seed. The 9-seed seems reasonable, but still could fall as low as 11.
Picking what I think are reasonable outcomes, I end up with Nebraska as the 9-seed.
This will be an unpopular opinion on this site... I live in Hawkeye country and my wife allows me to attend Iowa women's games with her second season ticket. The improvement that their post players make every season is astounding. They learn how to get position in the low post and then shots are nearly automatic, as shown by post players consistently shooting 60%. Some of this is teaching the guards how to make the right post-entry pass. I know Markowski is an above average post player; but, I do wonder how much she could be with a great post coach.
mred's Big 10 WBB Tournament Seeding Tiebreaker
Big 10 Conference Women's Basketball Tournament Seeding and Tiebreakers
bball.notnothing.net
Current standings:
Down to a game (two for Indiana & Maryland) and Iowa's upset of Michigan makes the Nebraska chance of avoiding the first day challenging. It's going to be a logjam at the 10-8 level.
Remaining games: Home teams on the left and the team I picked selected. I tend to lean toward home teams in closely matched games
I think the critical competitive remaining games for Nebraska's seedings are (of course, beating Northwestern) Maryland@Indiana, Michigan@Illinois, and Ohio State@Maryland.
If games turn out as I predicted, here would be the standings & bracket:
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Nebraska has tie-breakers over Michigan State and Oregon; but, not Iowa, Michigan, or Indiana.
I've played around with the games and am thinking it will be a 10 or 11 seed; to get to the 9 and not play the first day I think would need two losses by Indiana (which includes to 2-14 Purdue) or an Iowa home loss to 4-13 Wisconsin.
Other possibilities are 8-9 Minnesota win over Michigan State or 8-9 Washington beating Oregon (in both cases, Indiana needs to win twice and Michigan beats Illinois so that both are at 11 wins instead of tied at 10).
I've played around with the games and am thinking it will be a 10 or 11 seed; to get to the 9 and not play the first day I think would need two losses by Indiana (which includes to 2-14 Purdue) or an Iowa home loss to 4-13 Wisconsin.
Other possibilities are 8-9 Minnesota win over Michigan State or 8-9 Washington beating Oregon (in both cases, Indiana needs to win twice and Michigan beats Illinois so that both are at 11 wins instead of tied at 10).
Thanks for your work BGRed.
Apparently, I have too much time on my hands.
With Maryland's win over Indiana last night, I think it is looking like maybe the 11-seed, which seems a disappointment based on how the season has looked overall.
I can get the Huskers to a 7-seed with these results: But, that includes a Purdue shocker to beat Indiana, road upsets by Minnesota and Michigan.
I think it is more than likely going to fall like this and it would be the 11-seed. Wins by Iowa and Indiana hurt the Huskers, as does a loss by Michigan. Losses by Oregon and Michigan State help.
I can get the Huskers to a 7-seed with these results: But, that includes a Purdue shocker to beat Indiana, road upsets by Minnesota and Michigan.
I think it is more than likely going to fall like this and it would be the 11-seed. Wins by Iowa and Indiana hurt the Huskers, as does a loss by Michigan. Losses by Oregon and Michigan State help.
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