I'm not as confident as you are that this could play out this way. I don't see the loser of the LSU/Alabama still getting in the playoff. Plus you are making some pretty keen assumptions on winning out. The numbers just don't support getting 6 teams in there when right now it looks like The B1G will generate at least 3 teams. Penn State, Oregon and Ohio State with a strong chance of Indiana. The Big 12 presently has 2 undefeated teams and one......kansas state with one loss to the number 9 team. They are very likely going to get 2 teams in. Notre Dame is almost guaranteed a spot and the ACC guaranteed 1 and likely 2 teams.Alabama is the highest ranked 2-loss team and is making the CFP with two losses over some deserving 1-loss teams (Indiana?). LSU with 2-losses is only 2 spots behind ‘Bama.
Don't forget 1-loss Tennessee. Or 2-loss Ole Miss or Missouri. Now I don’t think Mizzou gets in even with just 2-losses.
Ole Miss needs to win out but if they beat UGA (and win out) they’re likely in.
Tennessee plays UGA. Even if they lose that game they likely win the rest and are in.
Alabama plays LSU, I’d bet money right now that even if LSU wins ‘Bama gets in.
LSU has to beat ‘Bama to get in but if they do they’re in.
A&M wins out until end of the season UT game. They’re in despite the outcome of that game.
Texas likely wins out till A&M game, they’re likely in if that happens.
UGA plays Ole Miss and the Vols. They need to win 1 of those 2 and they’re in.
I see a scenario where 6 SEC teams get in.
I see it more like this
4 SEC
3 B1G
2 ACC
2 Big 12
1 Notre Dame