I can’t wait to see the season unfold but Riley and Frost finally convinced me that predicting records is folly at least for this novice. I think we’re a bad team until we prove otherwise and with so many changes and unknowns my instinct is to just look at Rhule’s track record which of course suggests we’re going to get much better but we might actually take a step back first in W-L terms. Good OP though @Crusty and I hope the more sophisticated and optimistic analyses like yours are right!