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The Road to Eight Wins

I have no idea … it went from scholarship for tuition and board to $4M QBs in just under a decade. I hope it never gets to $80M but are you here to suggest it never absolutely positively gets there?
It will for the 30-40 team "Mega Conference". NFL Lyte
Every one else will be settling for playing for non televised games, like back in the 60's.
And so it goes......
 
Our OLine was solid last year, particularly in the run game, especially when Corcoran became a fixture on the starting line during the second half of the season. I believe the coaching will be immensely better and the results on the field will follow. This season our starting five may be our best since the Pelini-era. Hopefully some of our young guys step up for depth.

Defense was bad because our scheme was very NFL-like … bend don’t break, don’t give up the big play and allow the opposing offense to dictate tempo. A better scheme with more athletes in the front seven will help this coming year.

I think you may be the only person on this board that agrees with me about the O-line last year. The run game was very solid. It wasn't just Emmett Johnson making this happen on his own. I still put about half the sacks on DR. Holding on to the ball too long. He wasn't that slow. He just needed to give up on plays a little sooner and take off sometimes.

I think with better coaching and the little infusion of talent the O-line will be pretty good this year.

NFL style is a good way to put it. Unfortunately when you have a DB coach as your DC they tend to think more about being sound at the 3rd level. His pass defense was great, but they ran for 200 yards a game or whatever.
 
I would imagine getting to eight wins involves getting to seven first

Vegas has Huskers at 6.5
 
I think you may be the only person on this board that agrees with me about the O-line last year. The run game was very solid. It wasn't just Emmett Johnson making this happen on his own. I still put about half the sacks on DR. Holding on to the ball too long. He wasn't that slow. He just needed to give up on plays a little sooner and take off sometimes.

I think with better coaching and the little infusion of talent the O-line will be pretty good this year.

NFL style is a good way to put it. Unfortunately when you have a DB coach as your DC they tend to think more about being sound at the 3rd level. His pass defense was great, but they ran for 200 yards a game or whatever.
It’s like looking in a mirror …

I really believe Butler, having been rooted in NFL ways and wanting to protect “his” guys, developed his schemes around a bend-don’t-break philosophy. With a young D-Line and no legit “get-to-the-QB-guys” it was a false narrative. The defensive passing stats while good were skewed IMO.
 
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Nebraska needs to be tougher. Better OL and DL play.

Punish opponents, and thrust the ball into the endzone.

Avoid stupid mistakes, and win turnover battle.

God, what I wouldn't have given for Pat Fitzgerald as our HC.
NU just needs to do 3 things to get to 8 wins:

1) Play more mistake-free football … less penalties, less turnovers, less blown assignments, better game clock management

2) Commit to a heavy run-centric offensive strategy without putting the QB at significant risk. Lean on the offensive line and let this group lead the way.

3) Play even in the special teams game. Win the field position game.

Bonus one:

4) Be a sure-handed tackling team. Don’t miss tackles!

Do these three or four things and we win 8 games.
 
NU just needs to do 3 things to get to 8 wins:

1) Play more mistake-free football … less penalties, less turnovers, less blown assignments, better game clock management

2) Commit to a heavy run-centric offensive strategy without putting the QB at significant risk. Lean on the offensive line and let this group lead the way.

3) Play even in the special teams game. Win the field position game.

Bonus one:

4) Be a sure-handed tackling team. Don’t miss tackles!

Do these three or four things and we win 8 games.
Mistake free football including penalties is the key. That implies discipline which reaches all other aspects of the game, including conditioning and adjusting during a play that has come apart after the snap. Remember the national championships of the 90's. Conditioning was the key. The huskers knew, even if losing, if they were within 10pts at the beginning of the 4th quarter they would win. That was the niche Tom Osborne knew he had. Matt Rhule must find a niche, something innovative few other teams are doing that makes a difference. TO had conditioning and nutrition. He paved the way in the world of college football in those two areas. Now they are all doing those things. I don't know what Rhule can do, perhaps an innovative approach to the offense or defense, fast linemen (we've seen that as well), or something more innovative. I know he can't keep doing the same stuff and expecting different results.
 
NU just needs to do 3 things to get to 8 wins:

1) Play more mistake-free football … less penalties, less turnovers, less blown assignments, better game clock management

2) Commit to a heavy run-centric offensive strategy without putting the QB at significant risk. Lean on the offensive line and let this group lead the way.

3) Play even in the special teams game. Win the field position game.

Bonus one:

4) Be a sure-handed tackling team. Don’t miss tackles!

Do these three or four things and we win 8 games.
#4 is the one that bothers me. Going back several years (several coaching staffs), tackling has not been good. I believe it starts during practice.

During the glory days of the 1990s, (from what I have heard and read) tackles were complete to the ground, as what would be done in games. But because of fear of injuries, tackling became more of a extreme modified version of touch football. Come game time, opposing runners kept breaking tackles. Unfortunately, the old saying "you play like you practice" is still true.

In my opinion, this is the main thing for the defense to fix.
 
#4 is the one that bothers me. Going back several years (several coaching staffs), tackling has not been good. I believe it starts during practice.

During the glory days of the 1990s, (from what I have heard and read) tackles were complete to the ground, as what would be done in games. But because of fear of injuries, tackling became more of a extreme modified version of touch football. Come game time, opposing runners kept breaking tackles. Unfortunately, the old saying "you play like you practice" is still true.

In my opinion, this is the main thing for the defense to fix.
I also think speed is essential especially at the LB position. Have guys who can get to a spot. I know we all would’ve preferred a few more DLine transfers but I think the staff countered that deficit by getting guys who can get downhill and get to the ball.

By my count we have 3 portal transfers coming in who can do as suggested.
 
Some might disagree, but I think the first step back to relevance in college football is to finally win 8 games in a regular season, which NU hasn't done since 2016. Then over the next 3 or 4 years, establish 8 wins as an absolute floor and go from there.

The question then, is how does coach Rhule (like it or not, he's going to be around awhile) get that done?
No one really knows, but I took a look at the years since joining the Big Ten and found something I think is interesting.

Here's a table of winning percentages for each week in the season, excluding 2020, the COVID year.

View attachment 124714

I divided the season into triads, mostly because the first 3 games are (or should be) cakewalks and November, for some reason, has been brutal. Statistically then, NU's record per triad is 3-1, 2-2, 1-3. That's a 6-6 season. Keep in mind, the last time NU actually won at least 6 games was 2016. [Edit - oops, we did it the last two years, 6 in '24 and 7 in '25]

Take a look at week 9, typically (but not always, due to how byes are scheduled) the first game in November. NU has won 3 games in week 9 since joining the conference, the last was in 2014, a 35-14 win against Purdue in Lincoln. First, that stat has to change. Next, NU needs to beat Iowa at least 50% of the time.

So, how do we win 8 games in 2026?

Triad 1 (4-0)
Win all 3 cupcake games and beat Michigan State in East Lansing.

Triad 2 (2-2)
Beat Maryland and Washington, both in Lincoln.

Triad 3 (2-2)
Wins at Rutgers and at Iowa.

Personally, I just don't see it happening this year. Hope I'm wrong.
GBR
The first step is beating someone relevant. Let's start with a ranked team and get that losing streak only eclipsed in the P4 by Rutgers to an end.

8-4 with 0-4 against ranked teams isn't moving the needle.
 
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The first step is beating someone relevant. Let's start with a ranked team and get that losing streak only eclipsed in the P4 by Rutgers to an end.

8-4 with 0-4 against ranked teams isn't moving the needle.
I respectfully disagree that's the first step. Lets say we beat Oregon or Indiana but still go 7-5. I don't think that would be particularly helpful, long term.

While it would be nice to beat a Indiana, Oregon, or Ohio State, we're just not there yet, and we'll not get there until we can convincingly beat the low hanging fruit like Michigan State, Maryland, and Rutgers. That means not squandering early leads in the fourth quarter. Then we need win tight games against mid-tier teams like Illinois, Washington, and Iowa. Doing those two things, consistently for two or three years will go a long way to getting our mojo back.

GBR
 
Mistake free football including penalties is the key.
I would amend that to include including untimely penalties. How many close games have we lost in the fourth quarter or OT because we shoot ourselves in the foot with stupid penalties on critical drives? I don't know the number but it sure seems like we do it 75% of the time.
 

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