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RPI now 15 = Drivers seat for regional? (RPI now 9)

Armchair

Armchair

Husker Die Hard
20 Year Member
Per story attached to "How to watch Creighton game and what to know".... Nebraska's RPI has jumped up to 15 with our sweep of Iowa. If all that bears out, It means if we take care of business with Creighton and Minnesota, The Huskers "should" be in line for hosting a regional. Haymarket Park and the Fans should be more than ready. (If we didnt have the melt down at Ohio State we would have been a lock)...
None the less. It's been a remarkable season for our team. Looking forward to what the post season could hold.
GBR
 
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Driver's seat, probably not, but NU is in as good of shape as they can be at this point after Ohio State. They likely need to win at minimum three of the next four, do well enough in the tournament AND get some help from seeds 11-16 to host. I imagine the committee would like to give Lincoln a regional, so that's a positive. If NU takes care if it's business, it'll be tight, but it's looking more possible with an RPI of 15
 
some stuff from Google :

AI Overview



Determining factors for being awarded a regional host site in NCAA Division I baseball (as of 2026) are heavily weighted toward on-field performance, specifically being ranked in the top 16 national seeds. The selection committee primarily awards these spots to teams with high RPI (Rating Percentage Index), strong records against top-50 opponents, and, usually, a minimum of 35 wins.
Here are the specific determining factors:

1. On-Field Merit (Selection & Seeding)
  • National Seeding (Top 16): The top 16 teams selected for the 64-team tournament are generally granted hosting rights.
  • RPI (Rating Percentage Index): RPI is a major indicator of a team's potential to host, with top-16 RPI ranking typically necessary to be considered, although it's not a direct guarantee.
  • Strength of Schedule: The committee places significant value on how a team performed against high-quality opponents throughout the season, especially in "quad one" games.
  • Record: A solid winning record, particularly within the conference and against Division I opponents, is required, with many hosts having 35 or more wins.

2. Bid and Facility Requirements
  • Financial Guarantee: Schools must submit a bid that guarantees the NCAA a certain amount of revenue from the regional.
  • Facility Standards: The stadium must meet NCAA standards for seating capacity, media accommodations, and quality of playing surface.
  • Lighting: Lights are highly recommended to allow for night games, particularly for accommodating television broadcast schedules.
  • Hotel and Lodging: The host site must have sufficient quality hotel availability to accommodate all visiting teams, staff, and media.

3. Geographical and Strategic Factors
  • "Top 8" Advantage: While top-16 teams host, the top 8 national seeds are guaranteed to host Super Regionals if they win their regionals.
  • Geography: The committee attempts to organize regionals logically, though this is secondary to maintaining the integrity of the top-16 national seeds.
  • Bid Quality: If a higher-seeded team has a poor facility, the committee may award the host site to a lower-seeded team with a superior venue.
Note: For the 2026 season, the selection show is scheduled for Monday, May 25, 2026, with regionals beginning on May 29.
 
19D Cav said:
After what the NCAA did to the Softball team with it's SEC lovefest I'm thinking we need to be in the top 10 or higher which will not happen at this point. Once Again ESECPN and the NCAA are in bed together Money talks and ESECPN has thrown lots of it there way
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This point is hard to argue. I also think it needs to be higher.
 
Bottom line, you cant have the type of letdown they had, late in the season, that occurred with Ohio st. You win 2 out of 3 and its likely a mulligan situation. Now, should they have a decent run in the Big 10 tourney, maybe they overcome the poor series late.
 
The D1 Podcast where they predict the field didn't consider Nebraska at all for a top 16 seed, which isn't a great sign. They don't make the decisions, but they are more in tune to what will probably happen than the rest of us. NU was a lock for the first group of four (17-20 seeds) after that, but they did drop to 20 from 17. Because of how they're seeding 17-32 that doesn't necessarily mean a ton. Still,17 feels better than 20.

Bottom line appears to be that unless Nebraska wins they Big 10 tournament (maybe making the finals would do it if they get a win over USC or Oregon on the way there), they're not hosting unless they get help from multiple teams above them. They're supposed to beat Iowa and Minnesota, so doing that doesn't move the needle. At best, they hold their spot and hope teams above them stumble.
 
Ohio State hurt us.

And I believe the Committee absolutely WANTS to give Lincoln a regional.

But with the way old school SEC and “South” thinking dominates the College Baseball world…

(I mean only now are these guys waking up to the fact that the addition of the West Coast schools actually makes the Big Ten a pretty competitive league from at least the top 5 or 6… and they are still totally enamored with the Big 12 which I think has fallen off remarkably with all the conference realignments)…

Anyway…. It was always dicey, even if we would have taken two of three from Ohio State.

Best the kids not even think about it…. Just go to Minnesota and take care of business…. And then enter the BiG Tournament and do well.

I will say this…winning the Big Ten tournament just might do it…. Just might….especially since it would be three years in a row….. while past years shouldn’t make a difference with the decision makers for this year, but would be a factor in their minds regardless.
 
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Deer&Ducks said:
The D1 Podcast where they predict the field didn't consider Nebraska at all for a top 16 seed, which isn't a great sign. They don't make the decisions, but they are more in tune to what will probably happen than the rest of us. NU was a lock for the first group of four (17-20 seeds) after that, but they did drop to 20 from 17. Because of how they're seeding 17-32 that doesn't necessarily mean a ton. Still,17 feels better than 20.

Bottom line appears to be that unless Nebraska wins they Big 10 tournament (maybe making the finals would do it if they get a win over USC or Oregon on the way there), they're not hosting unless they get help from multiple teams above them. They're supposed to beat Iowa and Minnesota, so doing that doesn't move the needle. At best, they hold their spot and hope teams above them stumble.
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Last year, only 2 top 16 RPI teams didn't host. Alabama at #13 and Florida at #16 were passed over for Oregon at#17 and Southern Missouri at #19. There were already 8 SEC teams hosting and adding those 2 would have made it 10.

We are now sitting at #12. We also have strong cases against FSU, USC, and S.Miss ahead of us. Its hard to see us not getting to host and a run could have us pressing for a top 8.
 
RedRum said:
Last year, only 2 top 16 RPI teams didn't host. Alabama at #13 and Florida at #16 were passed over for Oregon at#17 and Southern Missouri at #19. There were already 8 SEC teams hosting and adding those 2 would have made it 10.

We are now sitting at #12. We also have strong cases against FSU, USC, and S.Miss ahead of us. Its hard to see us not getting to host and a run could have us pressing for a top 8.
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You might be right, but if NU hosts, I think it will 14-16 unless multiple teams collapse in a big way. They're trying to get above Oregon, Kansas, West Virginia and/or Oregon State right now. Several of those teams aren't having great weekends so far, which is great for Nebraska.
The RPI is one of three metrics the committee is supposed to be following and in the other two, Nebraska is 15 and 21. There's other factors beyond these metrics, too, and many of them aren't in Nebraska's favor. One that is, I think, is that the powers that be have to want a regional in Lincoln for all the obvious reasons. If it's close, Nebraska could come out on top.
I'm curious why you think NU has a strong case against Florida State and Southern Miss. USC's record against Quad 1 teams would indicate that they won't host without at minimum a huge finish against Oregon this weekend and in then in the tournament. At this stage, the fact that their RPI is better than Nebraska's won't matter.
 
Deer&Ducks said:
You might be right, but if NU hosts, I think it will 14-16 unless multiple teams collapse in a big way. They're trying to get above Oregon, Kansas, West Virginia and/or Oregon State right now. Several of those teams aren't having great weekends so far, which is great for Nebraska.
The RPI is one of three metrics the committee is supposed to be following and in the other two, Nebraska is 15 and 21. There's other factors beyond these metrics, too, and many of them aren't in Nebraska's favor. One that is, I think, is that the powers that be have to want a regional in Lincoln for all the obvious reasons. If it's close, Nebraska could come out on top.
I'm curious why you think NU has a strong case against Florida State and Southern Miss. USC's record against Quad 1 teams would indicate that they won't host without at minimum a huge finish against Oregon this weekend and in then in the tournament. At this stage, the fact that their RPI is better than Nebraska's won't matter.
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When you look at FSU, they are 7-10 in Q1 and we are 9-7. But their Q1 wins are on the lower edge. They are 0-7 against RPI top 15, while we are 5-2 against top 7. Included in that is a h2h win against them 10-1.

Southern Missouri built up their resume winning a lot of quality Tuesday games early in the season. But then faded in them later in the year. Does the committee look at pitching matchups because it's a lot different if you are lining up against their midweek guys, especially early in the year vs the weekend rotation. They seemed to be loved by the committee in the past though.

Oregon, Oregon State, Kansas, and VWU are all behind us and unless we drop the next 2 games, they will be solidly behind us, and even then, we probably stay solidly in the top 16.

Last year TCU got jumped over in hosting by Southern Miss, but that was 19 over 18. None of those teams have better metric than us and lack the quality wins, with the exception of Kansas because of the the 2 h2h wins against us.

If we were to win the tournament again this hear, I don't see how we don't move in the top 8 after beating USC and UCLA.
 
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