One of the problems with this thinking is believing that people going to the bars is causing the problems and that being more responsible towards precautions will open up more businesses. That goes entirely against the stated strategies that the government took from day 1. The purpose of social distancing is to flatten the curve to not overwhelm hospitals and thus lengthening the spread. This will not allow more business's to be open earlier. Exactly the opposite.
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Here is the latest 7 day average for New York City. The earliest of the large cities who did no social distancing or masks in the early stages. ie herd mentality. Here is an example of the united states as a whole utilizing mandated social distancing and masks.
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My point being......and most real experts agree.....is right now the only cure is your natural immunity system since a vaccine isn't available. It is almost impossible to not become exposed at some point unless you lock yourself in the basement and expect the rest of the world to expose themselves to ensure you have medical, utilities, a food chain and income for you to pay for all of that. Since that is a selfish world we can't all live in it. So in saying that.......the same amount of people are likely to be exposed, the same amount of people are likely to become sick and the same amount of people are likely to die if all things are equal.
Now in saying that.......there has been some advantages to the flattening of the curve. It has hopefully got us closer to a vaccine. How important that will be in 4-6 months is unknown because all of us hope the majority of the cases starts a downward trend. The other advantage is we have not overwhelmed the health care system and the treatment has become better. Its arguable to what extent we need to effect the 99.9% to protect the .1% that we might or might not be able to protect anyway.