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BIG tiebreaker scenarios

RedRum

All Big 10
10 Year Member
This is how I see them.

NU win
3rd seed with either a NW or Wisconsin loss
4th seed if both NW and WI win

NU loss
4th seed with an Iowa and NW loss

5th seed with an Iowa win and NW loss OR NW win and Iowa loss

6th seed with NW win and Iowa Win
 
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This is how I see them. Assunrs WI doesn't lose 2.

NU win
3rd seed with either a NW or Wisconsin loss
4th seed if both NW and WI win

NU loss
4th seed with an Iowa and NW loss

5th seed with an Iowa win and NW loss OR NW win and Iowa loss

6th seed with NW win and Iowa Win
NW plays Minnesota
Wisconsin plays Rutgers and @Purdue
Iowa plays Illinois

Go Illinois & Purdue!
 
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Seeding Scenarios:

Win and the Huskers are the #3 seed, holding the tiebreaker over Northwestern.
Lose and the Huskers could be anywhere from #3 to #6.
- Huskers have tiebreaker over Northwestern, Michigan State, Wisconsin. Iowa has tiebreaker over Huskers.

 
Seeding Scenarios:

Win and the Huskers are the #3 seed, holding the tiebreaker over Northwestern.
Lose and the Huskers could be anywhere from #3 to #6.
- Huskers have tiebreaker over Northwestern, Michigan State, Wisconsin. Iowa has tiebreaker over Huskers.


With the Wisconsin win over Rutgers, here is what I think are the Husker scenarios if I use that link properly and also found a nice grid on twitter.

Husker Win at Michigan - Minnesota @ Northwestern Saturday night & Wisconsin @ Purdue on Sunday are relevant other games. Huskers have the tie-breaker over each individually due to the Husker win over Purdue; so, if either Northwestern or Wisconsin loses, Huskers are the #3 seed. But, a three-way tie goes to Wisconsin based on round-robin schedule, Huskers are #4 seed.

Husker Loss at Michigan - Could be anywhere from #4 to #6. This gets crazy...
- #4 seed: Need a Northwestern loss. Ideally, either Wisconsin or Northwestern loses as Huskers have tiebreaker over both individually (but don't really want both losing). Much more helpful to have Northwestern lose than Wisconsin because of the multi-team tiebreakers. If Northwestern wins and Wisconsin loses, Huskers must have Iowa and Michigan State both lose to get the #4 seed. Must have Iowa lose regardless as the Hawkeyes have tiebreaker over Nebraska no matter if it is three-way, four-way, or five-way tie. Helpful if Michigan State loses as a three-way tie with Wisconsin & Michigan State (Northwestern beats Minnesota) gives tiebreaker to Wisconsin over Huskers. Three-way tie with Michigan State, Northwestern (Wisconsin beats Purdue) gives tiebreaker to Nebraska. Basically, pecking order in multi-team tiebreaker scenarios is Iowa, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Northwestern, Michigan State.

- #5 seed: If both Wisconsin and Northwestern win, best case is the #5 seed. Need Iowa to lose as Huskers lose head-to-head tiebreaker or a three-way tiebreaker with Michigan State in the mix. Nebraska wins head-to-head over Michigan State

- #6 seed: If Wisconsin, Northwestern, and Iowa all win.


 
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It is really quite amazing that all 7 of the final games have a significant bearing on the tournament bracket.

Double-Bye: Scenarios shown above. Five games will impact the double-bye.

Lowest Four: The other two games will directly impact who finishes in the bottom four.
Ohio State @ Rutgers
Maryland @ Penn State
 
It is really quite amazing that all 7 of the final games have a significant bearing on the tournament bracket.

Double-Bye: Scenarios shown above. Five games will impact the double-bye.

Lowest Four: The other two games will directly impact who finishes in the bottom four.
Ohio State @ Rutgers
Maryland @ Penn State
Makes it more exciting that way
 
Now locked into the #3 or #4 seed. #3 if Wisconsin loses to Purdue; but, the Badgers are mounting a comeback.

A Purdue win still leaves four possible teams for the #6 seed spot (Michigan St, Iowa, Indiana, Wisconsin).

A Wisconsin win drops the Huskers to the #4 spot, with Northwestern then locked into the #5 spot.
 





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