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For starters they need to beat the teams they are supposed to beat, do very well in their conference, and play and beat teams that win a lot to give them a high RPI (wins against good teams). That is what I know...which is not very much.
For our purposes this season, we will have to win the B1G tourney, which of course means we'll have to qualify for said tourney first. If/when we win just one game vs Michicant this weekend, we're locked in the conf tourney -- from there, we'll have to win the whole damn thing to qualify for a regional. If that happens, Purdue will most certainly gain an at-large bid based on their season and strong RPI rating.