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TeamRankings

Discussion in 'Men's Basketball' started by BGRed, Nov 27, 2018.

  1. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    Continuing the slide:

    upload_2019-2-7_6-29-7.png
     
  2. Nebugeater

    Nebugeater Scout Team 15 Year Member

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    They project four more wins. I don't see it.
     
  3. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    I'm sure they simulate based on full season stats. I'd like to see them add some sort of trend metrics...weight more recent games more heavily.
     
  4. Ackos

    Ackos Heisman 15 Year Member

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    Simulate on the last 10, and see the results.
     
  5. Captkenny

    Captkenny Junior Varsity 10 Year Member

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    The chance of getting a bid is still projected as 5%.

    There's still a chance! :thumbsup:
     
  6. Nebugeater

    Nebugeater Scout Team 15 Year Member

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    At this point is it about the 5% chance of getting to the dance? There is a real chance we do not even get an invite to the NIT
     
  7. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    There's still a chance...

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  8. Ackos

    Ackos Heisman 15 Year Member

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    NU is comfortably entrenched in 13th position, 1.5 games out of last place.
    NET down to 40th, RPI 110th

    The game against DII sw minn st is not counted in the calculations
     
  9. Ackos

    Ackos Heisman 15 Year Member

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    DR Ratings now has NU out of the NIT.
     
  10. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    We were given a 79% mark to beat Minnesota, so no real change to the simulations. I'd think we'd be in the NIT if we manage to stay over .500.

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  11. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    A 4-2 finish in the regular season gets us to 18-13 and would include good wins against Iowa & Purdue. That might be enough to get us back on the bubble; but, I'd say that we absolutely must win those four 'easiest' games and knock off one of the Michigan schools to be seriously in the conversation again.

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    HuskerWeatherman likes this.
  12. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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  13. HuskerWeatherman

    HuskerWeatherman Husker Fan 15 Year Member

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    And even then, would very likely have to do some damage in the Big Ten Tournament (i.e. win AT LEAST two games -- even then, the Dance would be far from a lock).

    It's basically going to take a miracle.

    Well, at least we should be able to gain a bit of momentum with a relatively easy opponent next up in Northwestern. But as with Minnesota, that game won't do much to boost our chances. It just keeps us from falling off the cliff, assuming we win.

    The last team we beat that has a greater than 30% chance to make the tournament was Clemson (39% chance, according to Team Rankings) -- way back on November 26. In other words, NU will have to beat at least a couple teams that are better than any team we've beaten this season to realistically have any shot.
     
    Last edited: Feb 15, 2019
    huskermike likes this.
  14. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    So, you're saying there's a chance... ;)
     
    huskermike and HuskerWeatherman like this.
  15. BGRed

    BGRed Starter 15 Year Member

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    Last night's game was one we were expected to win. Therefore, our chances have not improved much. One point to keep in mind is that the site says that they don't have the history of NET to correlate how the NCAA chooses teams. They still simulate games in the same way for overall record.

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