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Alabama Out of Playoff Picture (for now)

So I guess Bama does get in?
1 Clemson
2 Ou
3 Georgia
4 Bama

Thats how I guess it goes.

1, 2, and 3 are clear.

4 is going to be hotly debated.

Alabama or Ohio State (slight consideration for USC)?

Bama only has one loss. But it's a less impressive loss after today. And they don't really have much for impressive wins. #17 LSU is their best win. Also -- they didn't play in the SEC title game because they didn't win their division. The Tide's strength-of-schedule was not difficult.

Ohio State has two losses. Two uglier losses than Alabama's one loss. But -- they won their conference title -- and they have more impressive wins. In fact, three teams OSU beat were higher-ranked in the latest CFP poll than any of Alabama's wins. Wisconsin, Penn State, and Michigan State. Certainly a more difficult strength-of-schedule for Ohio State (including the ugly loss to Oklahoma, who will be in the playoff).

One way the committee could decide what is a highly-subjective decision (maybe breaking a tie in their minds) would be to leave Bama out and put OSU in -- because then you'd have four conferences represented -- all conference champs. Put in Bama, and you have two SEC teams in. But -- if you were to ask -- most people would probably say Bama is better than OSU if the two were to play. The eyeball test.

Trying to predict what the committee will do is very difficult.
 
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