Discussion in 'Football' started by Huskerthom, Feb 1, 2019.
If the Huskers convert on 3rd down, they will have a very good season.
My first thought was TFLs. Because they can be such momentum changers. But then I recalled all the times we'd get a TFL or two, and then proceed to give up a 3rd down conversion that ultimately led to a score.
So I'd say the most important stats would be:
D: 3rd down stops
O: 3rd down conversions.
Getting turnovers before 3rd down, and getting offensive 1st downs on 1st or 2nd down, would just be bonuses.
More forced turnovers
Lead the nation in Red Zone Efficiency !
Will not only lead to turnovers, but will limit opposition completion percentage.
More 3 and outs!
Average Starting field position .... lot of factors have a bearing on this stat including efficiency on special teams. Bottom line is that I like our chances for a W if we are putting ourselves in a better position than our opponent.
Third down defense. We let teams convert way too many third and longs
Less penalties & penalty yds/game. Not my top choice but hadn’t seen it listed yet...
Giving up the third & longs last year was very frustrating to watch and I’m sure it took its toll on the defense. After a while it seemed we were stuck in a loop of good 1st & 2nd down D with a meltdown on 3rd down.
As well as being able to stop 3rd down conversions.
You are all correct. A turnover of > 1 virtually ensures a winning season.
The good thing about this one is they were improving as the season went on ( or at least at the end).
Ten years ago in an offense that threw the ball as much as Nebraska does now, I'd have said 'Yards Per Pass Attempt'. I still think it's an important stat, but if the run game is clicking, it may become completely irrelevant. So for this discussion I'll have to say turnover margin.
You have seen the light.
Turnovers on both sides of the ball.
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