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Thread: 34 wins?

  1. #16
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    Big Ten
    Records include games against Division I opponents only.
    Conference Overall RPI
    # Team W - L - T Pct GB W - L - T Pct Rank Pct vs 1-50 Last 10 Streak
    1 Purdue 7 - 2 - 0 0.778 - 24 - 5 - 0 0.828 16 0.6037 6 - 2 - 0 8 - 2 - 0 5 Wins
    2 Nebraska 5 - 4 - 0 0.556 2 22 - 12 - 0 0.647 67 0.5407 1 - 3 - 0 7 - 3 - 0 3 Wins
    2 Ohio State 5 - 4 - 0 0.556 2 20 - 12 - 0 0.625 33 0.5734 2 - 5 - 0 8 - 2 - 0 6 Wins
    2 Indiana 5 - 4 - 0 0.556 2 15 - 18 - 0 0.455 144 0.5033 1 - 2 - 0 6 - 4 - 0 1 Win
    5 Michigan State 3 - 3 - 0 0.500 20 - 11 - 0 0.645 62 0.5474 3 - 5 - 0 6 - 4 - 0 1 Loss
    5 Illinois 3 - 3 - 0 0.500 18 - 13 - 0 0.581 78 0.5350 1 - 4 - 0 7 - 3 - 0 1 Loss
    5 Minnesota 3 - 3 - 0 0.500 15 - 17 - 0 0.469 126 0.5120 4 - 5 - 0 6 - 4 - 0 4 Losses
    8 Iowa 4 - 5 - 0 0.444 3 13 - 16 - 0 0.448 207 0.4683 0 - 2 - 0 5 - 5 - 0 1 Win
    9 Michigan 2 - 4 - 0 0.333 15 - 19 - 0 0.441 209 0.4679 0 - 3 - 0 3 - 7 - 0 3 Losses
    9 Penn State 2 - 4 - 0 0.333 13 - 19 - 0 0.406 164 0.4927 1 - 7 - 0 7 - 3 - 0 1 Loss
    11 Northwestern 3 - 6 - 0 0.333 4 10 - 18 - 0 0.357 235 0.4485 0 - 3 - 0 4 - 6 - 0 4 Losses

    Sorry. didn't get what all the numbers meant in my original post....so here ya go!
    The hard is what makes it great.

  2. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by Queso View Post
    I estimated 34 at the adjusted win rate...our winning percentage has declined over the over the season. But you may be right. If I have time, I'll dig into the data from the last couple of years of what it will take to get selected.
    7-3 over the last 10 gms. isn't bad, although the competition hasn't been the greatest
    The hard is what makes it great.

  3. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by Huskers57 View Post
    I've been enjoying this season. First time I've had genuine enjoyment since the SF/Manhattan meltdown.
    Geesh, did you have to bring up that debacle?? Completely forgot all about that. That was sick!!!


  4. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by Queso View Post
    I agree. We need to upgrade the pitching staff, but DE is bringing a new excitement to Hawks Field. Husker baseball is fun again.

    A regional appearance this year would be gravy. I expect we'll be relevant again nationally in 2 or 3 years.
    If we don't make it this season, (because of our pitching, if there is a reason), we will be there next season, I'm sure. Darin has instilled a desire to make things happen.


  5. #20
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    ...or they could just win the tourney and set aside all of the RPI BS Van Horn style.
    “If it is not right do not do it; if it is not true do not say it.” Marcus Aurelius

  6. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by Husker Mort View Post
    ...or they could just win the tourney and set aside all of the RPI BS Van Horn style.
    Ditto!!
    I hope they are playing their best ball late in the season when it really matters.

  7. #22
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    From 2007-2011, the average win numbers for an at-large team was 38.5. I don't have the average RPI associated with those numbers.

    For the same time period, there were four at-large bids from the B1G. OSU (40 wins) and MN (38 wins) in '09, MN (40 wins) and Michigan (39 wins) in '07.

    Looking at teams that DIDN'T get at large births, in 2010 there was Michigan (35) and MSU (34). In 2009 there was Illinois (34).

    Based on this, I'm rethinking my post to us needing 37 wins to be considered, 39 to be guaranteed an at-large bid. 39 wins seems like a long shot, but far from impossible.

  8. #23
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    Taking the scarlet lenses off my glasses, If Neb can't win the B1G tourney they probably aren't going to get a bid. Hard to go from missing the B12 tourney to an at-large bid if they don't win the B1G even with 35+ wins. They are a year out from being good. This team has a ways to go.

  9. #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fromunda Cheese View Post
    I think the B1G is a one bid league unless someone besides Purdue wins the conference tourney.

    NU at 34 wins isn't close to a bid, and thats even taken 2 outta 3 from Purdue.

    Currently Nebraska is 1-3 vs Top 50 RPI teams, and 6-4 vs 200+ RPI teams. The resume just isn't there to get an at large.

    Things could change, as California plays numerous top 20 teams down the stretch which will help. NU could sweep the higher RPI teams ahead of them (Purdue #16, Ohio State #35, Michigan State #63), but as of right now, 34 or 37 wins isn't going to do it...

    To become relavent again NU needs STUD pitching. And I mean studs. Dudes who can dominate anyone on Friday night (Komine, Marsden, Chamberlein, Watson, etc). And #2's who can also dominate (Duensing, Kronecke, etc).
    This is right but you did leave out Dorn as one of the pitchers. If I remember correctly there is some history of 37 win teams being in from THE BIG. I am Ok with you correcting me if I'm wrong.

  10. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by CrnhskrBob View Post
    If we don't make it this season, (because of our pitching, if there is a reason), we will be there next season, I'm sure. Darin has instilled a desire to make things happen.
    I agree with this.

  11. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by Queso View Post
    From 2007-2011, the average win numbers for an at-large team was 38.5. I don't have the average RPI associated with those numbers.

    For the same time period, there were four at-large bids from the B1G. OSU (40 wins) and MN (38 wins) in '09, MN (40 wins) and Michigan (39 wins) in '07.

    Looking at teams that DIDN'T get at large births, in 2010 there was Michigan (35) and MSU (34). In 2009 there was Illinois (34).

    Based on this, I'm rethinking my post to us needing 37 wins to be considered, 39 to be guaranteed an at-large bid. 39 wins seems like a long shot, but far from impossible.
    Do you have the RPIs of the teams that did get at-large bids in the past?

    84 is Nebraska's RPI right now. I doubt that will get us in. Ideally, we go no less than .500 between Ohio State and Purdue (next weekend's opponent). That's the opportunity to boost the RPI. After that, the opportunities are few and far between with a bunch of poor teams remaining.

  12. #27
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    You are the one crying for two threads in a row about the hopelessness that surrounds the baseball program
    I apologize if my rhetoric comes off as crying, its more my frustration with how NU has been playing of late. I really thought we'd fare better in the B1G.

    Nebraska has never recruited STUD pitchers. They have MADE them. Silva is the best pitching coach we've had since Anderson, so how's about we give him a chance before raising our white flag?
    Agree. But we can both agree that the Huskers need over powering pitching, especially on Friday night. NU is now 1-3 on Fridays nights (ugh) in the Big 10.

    Its mid-April and we are still searching for "that guy". Equally frustrating is the talent that is leaving the area for other schools. How good would that 6'6" righty from Millard West who is dealing down in Wichita look in Red? Last night a South Dakota St pitcher from Papio South shut down Creighton at TD Ameritrade (although that isn't say much against the light hitting Jays)

    Anyway, Silva is a helluva pitching coach, hopefully he can produce the results like Childress did with Chad Wiles and Scott Fries
    "I've never quit anything in my life" -- Bo Pelini

  13. #28
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fromunda Cheese View Post
    I apologize if my rhetoric comes off as crying, its more my frustration with how NU has been playing of late. I really thought we'd fare better in the B1G.



    Agree. But we can both agree that the Huskers need over powering pitching, especially on Friday night. NU is now 1-3 on Fridays nights (ugh) in the Big 10.

    Its mid-April and we are still searching for "that guy". Equally frustrating is the talent that is leaving the area for other schools. How good would that 6'6" righty from Millard West who is dealing down in Wichita look in Red? Last night a South Dakota St pitcher from Papio South shut down Creighton at TD Ameritrade (although that isn't say much against the light hitting Jays)

    Anyway, Silva is a helluva pitching coach, hopefully he can produce the results like Childress did with Chad Wiles and Scott Fries
    Hopefully those types of pitchers will decide to stay in Nebraska now that Coach Erstad is here.
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  14. #29
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    Do you have the RPIs of the teams that did get at-large bids in the past?
    I didn't, but I did the research pretty quickly. I'll see what I can dig up.

  15. #30
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    we definitely need a Friday night ACE. That's the weak link.







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